Mean, standard deviation, regression, correlation and probability rules for Grade 12 CAPS statistics and probability, with NSC Paper 2 exam notes.
Statistics and probability are the most calculator-driven sections of NSC Paper 2. Knowing which statistical mode to use is as important as the formulas themselves.
| Formula | Expression | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Mean | x̄ = Σx / n | For grouped data use the midpoint of each interval. |
| Variance | σ² = Σ(x − x̄)² / n | Standard deviation is the square root of the variance. |
| Least squares regression line | ŷ = a + bx | Read a and b from the calculator's regression mode. |
| Correlation coefficient | r, −1 ≤ r ≤ 1 | |r| close to 1 means a strong linear relationship. |
| Addition rule | P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A and B) | Mutually exclusive events have P(A and B) = 0. |
| Complementary events | P(not A) = 1 − P(A) | Fastest route for 'at least one' questions. |
| Independent events | P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B) | Use this identity to prove or disprove independence. |
| Fundamental counting principle | n₁ × n₂ × … × nₖ | Arrangements of n different items = n! |
Some are printed on the official information sheet, but not all. Treat every formula on this page as examinable and learn it with a worked example so you recognise when to use it.
Statistics & Probability is examined in Paper 2 of the NSC Mathematics examination.
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